Independence Day Busters: Two stocks poised for steep declines
By J. Christoph Amberger
Taipan Group's Dynamic Market Alert
-- Independence Day Busters: Two stocks poised for steep declines
-- Tech Stocks: iPhone Boasts a 55% Profit Margin for Apple
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Independence Day Busters: Two stocks poised for steep declines
by J. Christoph Amberger
A flyover of a squad of A-10s. Waving politicians and local news anchors in comfortable shoes walking uphill on glowing asphalt, or throwing candy from the back seats of vintage Cadillacs.
Boy Scouts and Justice League and ethnic marching bands from Urbana, Illinois, and the urban blight of downtown Baltimore. Fire engines and radio station vans. Sunscreen and lukewarm water, followed by the inevitable barbecue party at the neighbor's pool.
Bug spray and fireworks at night.
Of course, the celebration of Independence Day wouldn't be complete without a blockbuster movie. Although I'm wondering if this year's top contender will be doing more busting than blocking.
As we were filming this week's programs for TaipanFinancialNews.com, I was watching, spellbound, as the financial news channels were doing their utmost to provide GM with some value for the gazillions of advertising dollars the car maker shelled out on promoting the summer movie "Transformers."
They got me: Am I just getting too old to appreciate the marketing subtleties here? How is a movie about rioting robots that can transform themselves into GM cars going to sell a single jalopy?
Even Hasbro's toy merchandising tie-in appears tenuous... or about 10 years too late. The Echo Boom generation who would have gobbled up transformer toys at age 4 and 7 is now 14 or 17... and wouldn't be caught dead in a movie about cars turning into anthropomorphic engines of destruction.
My boys, apparently the prime audience for this mega-million flick, have not raised their voice once clamoring to see it. (In fact, they think it's "gay." Not that there's anything wrong with that…)
I rarely venture a stock pick based purely on gut feeling: But based on the money blown on production and advertising, I believe both GM and Hasbro have just graduated to the top of my short list.
The sparks rising from their slide down may rival today's fireworks.
Happy Independence Day!
Tech Stocks: iPhone Boasts a 55% Profit Margin for Apple
by Ann Sosnowski, Editor, Diligent Investor
You can’t always get what you want, according to the Rolling Stones. And it’s true. It is… but that doesn’t make me wish it wasn’t.
There’s two things I wanted this week that I didn’t get: One is the experience of seeing English emo crooner Morrissey from The Smiths fame at a sold-out show in Baltimore. While the week was rife with rumors that he would cancel this or that show in the Northeast due to a throat infection, it wasn’t verified until Tuesday morning that he was postponing his concert. Go figure: He played an acclaimed show at Wolftrap in Virginia the night before. Instead of being blessed with his humble appearance, a Smiths and Morrissey tribute band took his place. Ho hum.
The second item I didn’t get this week that I really wanted was the Apple iPhone. Instead, I took advantage of my annual free cellphone upgrade, replacing my beaten and scratched old Motorola with a new Nokia camera-phone.
I really was considering buying the iPhone. I’m slightly obsessed with its sleekness, just like much of the country. But I just couldn’t bring myself to commit the sin of debt for a toy that I knew would be overly fondled around the office all day… and possibly stolen off of my person in the streets of Baltimore.
Instead of instant gratification, I’ve been plagued with second-hand sources, as I’m reading everything I can get my hands on about the iPhone, including reviews and stress tests.
In fact, the following video of a PC World staffer damaging an iPhone on purpose actually made my eyes tear up.
Here are the truths of the matter:
Apple has yet again met expectations. According to PC Magazine’s Tim Bajarin, the iPhone’s cellular phone capacity, its use as a media player and as a Web-browsing device shows that the company “has delivered a device that matches the company's claims.”
Yes, AT&T (T:NYSE) had some overly criticized problems with iPhone service activation the first few days it was available. But if you actually read about it, the problems occurred for only 2% of the users. That’s customary trouble-shooting parameters for any new technology or service. AT&T is up 6% over the last four days on new customer acquisition
Apple Inc. (AAPL:NYSE) stock continues to rise on the better press surrounding the iPhone. Excitement over the new gadget has propped the stock to new lifetime high after new lifetime high the six months following its unveiling at the Consumer Electronics Show in January. Investors bought the stock yet again on Tuesday before the Fourth of July holiday.
AAPL stock jumped more than $5 per share in a mere three-and-a-half hour trading session after it was unveiled that Apple’s profit margin is 55% on the 8 GB iPhone model, which retails for $599 per unit.
Just as PC World had to attempt to break the living daylights out of the iPhone, iSuppli broke down the iPhone’s components to decipher the costs of manufacturing, which came to almost $266 per unit.
Think AAPL can’t go any higher? Think again. It’s ready to break into a new lifetime high again, and RSI is rising along with Money Flow. From my technical estimates, AAPL has about $8 per share more to rise on this current cyclical rallying leg.
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Upgrades and Downgrades
Lawson Software upgraded by Matrix Research from Strong Sell to Sell.
Trump Entertainment upgraded by Brean Murray from Hold to Buy.
Business Objects upgraded by UBS from Neutral to Buy.
Movie Gallery downgraded by Soleil from Hold to Sell.
Caterpillar downgraded by UBS from Neutral to Reduce.
Brought to you by Taipan Financial News
http://www.taipanfinancialnews.com
Today’s Exclusive TFN Video
Under the Microscope With Krista Das
“A Whopping 683% in Gains”
Ann Sosnowski, editor of Diligent Investor, exited an amazing 15 positions this week. Ian Cooper of Early Alert and Death Cross Trader also had a healthy week. Learn which positions both editors are recommending.
Quote of the Day
“The ‘Transformers’ movie opens on July 4. It’s about giant robots that destroy things. Oscar season is finally upon us.”
- Jimmy Kimmel, July 2, 2007
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